The warning confirms worries in the market about declining profits in Viva’s refining operations at Geelong, where estimated EBITDA for 2018 had already been slashed from the $216.7 million given in the prospectus.
Viva raised $2.65 billion in an initial share offer in what was the country’s biggest IPO of the year but the stock has disappointed investors, sinking well below its $2.50 issue price. The shares sank as much as 5.2 per cent to $1.72 in early trading
“Refining margins have continued to perform below the prospectus forecast in the month of January 2019 to date and if these conditions were to persist the prospectus forecast for 1H 2019 GRM of $US9.5/bbl would not be achieved,” it advised.
Each $US1 a barrel shift in the refining margin shifts Ebitda by $29 million and net profit by $20.3 million, before taking into account foreign exchange.
Extracted from AFR